

000 

WGCA72 TJSJ 102249

FFSSJU

PRC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-

033-035-037-039-041-043-045-047-049-051-053>055-057-059-061-063-065-

067-069-071-073-075-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-091-093-095-097-099-

101-103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-129-131-133-

135-137-139-141-143-145-147-149-151-153-VIC010-020-030-110030-



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR

645 PM AST WED NOV 10 2004



...FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND  

   ALL THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...



...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF ST CROIX...



AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL AMERICA 

NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN...AND 

ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY 

STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WELL SOUTH  

OF THE MONA PASSAGE THIS EVENING IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ELONGATED 

TROUGH...AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TONIGHT AND THURSDAY 

AND PASS VERY NEAR OR JUST TO THE SOUTH OF ST CROIX. THIS LOW WILL 

FOCUS NUMEROUS HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WILL MOVE 

NORTHEASTWARD WITH THE LOW CENTER...AND COULD IMPACT THE VIRGIN 

ISLANDS AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO WITH EXTENDED PERIODS OF 

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES. 



AT 6:30 PM THIS EVENING...NWS DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED BROKEN LINES 

AND BANDS OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF ST 

CROIX SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE CARIBBEAN. THIS WEATHER WILL MEANDER 

BACK AND FORTH ACROSS ST CROIX THROUGHOUT THE EVENING...WITH THE 

POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE 

ISLAND. THEREFORE...FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING THROUGH 

MIDNIGHT...THE ISLAND OF ST CROIX WILL BE UNDER THE RISK OF HEAVY 

RAIN INDUCING FLASH FLOODING...GUT FLOODING...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR 

MUDSLIDES. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND PATCHY LIGHT RAIN WILL AFFECT THE 

REMAINDER OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS THROUGH MIDNIGHT...AND COULD INDUCE 

MINOR URBAN AND STREAM FLOODING



STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR 

UPDATES ON THIS PERSISTENT WEATHER PATTERN.



$$

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